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Impact of VoIP
Bypass on International Calling Gradually Diminishes, Says
Insight
Research
press
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BOONTON, NJ.
May 20, 2005:
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While the bite being taken out of traditional international voice revenues
by Voice over the Internet Protocol (VoIP) will continue growing, VoIP
bypass revenues will become a smaller percentage of overall international
voice revenue, according to a new market analysis report released by
Insight Research. As
international settlement rates between carriers are brought into line with
costs, the attractiveness of VoIP as a substitution for traditional phone
calls will diminish, slowing down its adoption and making VoIP bypass a
relatively smaller percentage of all international voice traffic, the
study concluded.
According to the
market analysis study,
“North American Telecom, International Telecom, and VoIP: A Global Market
Perspective 2005-2011,” international VoIP revenue will reach $84
billion this year, representing about 28 percent of international voice
traffic revenue. By 2011, VoIP bypass of international voice traffic is
expected to hit $96 billion, or just over 22 percent of international
voice traffic. With the margins on all types of voice calling continuing
to decline, telecommunications hardware and software vendors are unlikely
to see the service providers substantially increase their CAPEX budgets,
the report says.
“Everyone assumes
that VoIP calling is going to quickly overwhelm circuit-switched calling,
but the reality is that the displacement of TDM with VoIP will take longer
than many imagine,” says Insight
president Robert Rosenberg. “Don’t get me wrong: VoIP will rule at the
end of the day. But once international rates are in line with the actual
service delivery costs, the arbitrage opportunity becomes less compelling,
VoIP bypass adoption rates slow and actually become a smaller percentage
of all international calls,” concluded Rosenberg.
“North American Telecom, International Telecom, and VoIP: A Global Market
Perspective 2005-2011”
forecasts
access line growth and wireless subscriber growth, analyzes data on MOUs
related to international circuit switched voice and VoIP traffic, and
forecasts the VoIP MOUs and associated revenue as well as revenue per
subscriber. VoIP’s impact on capital investment in hardware and software
is also quantified. Data is provided for the major economies in North
America, Central America, the Caribbean, Latin America, Europe, Asia,
Africa and Oceania.
A free report excerpt, table of contents, and ordering
information is online at
http://www.insight-corp.com/reports/intliptele.asp
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973-541-9600
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