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Data Virtual Private Networks (VPNs)

2000-2005

a market research report

Report Excerpt

Market Segmentation

Table of Contents

Press Release

Pricing Information

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Tremendous growth in data virtual private networks (VPNs) is already apparent, with corporations benefiting from its public network aspect––scalability, redundancy, and load sharing––and the security that is apart of its private network component. The data VPN allows remote employees to access sensitive company data securely across an Internet connection, and as dedicated broadband access becomes more prevalent, trading partners, suppliers, and e-commerce customers will connect as well. Very quickly, the corporate data VPN becomes a mission critical business tool.

Corporations will stick to their core business––serving their customers––and rely on carriers for outsourced, managed VPN solutions as the complexity of their VPN evolves. Insight has already seen a sharp jump in dedicated VPN access this year, with several market forces pointing to 2003 as a watershed year. Major VPN growth in 2003 will carry the market to nearly $16 billion by 2005.

The time to secure data VPN customers is now. Capitalize on VPN’s position at the forefront of the IP revolution with the market analysis in Data Virtual Private Networks

Five-year forecasts of IXC, CLEC, ILEC, and ISP revenue from dedicated and dial-up VPN access demonstrates this significant market opportunity. The report also projects VPN equipment, software, and consulting expenditures through 2005. Insight examines security and quality of service aspects, reviews hardware and software issues that will impact carrier offerings, and analyzes the evolution of VPNs. 


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    Report Excerpt

    Background

    Virtual private network (VPN) has not exactly been a term cast in concrete—its meaning seems to change with the technology. If you threw the term “VPN” around ten years ago, everyone knew you were talking about enterprise-class voice products, AT&T’s SDN, MCI’s VNET, and Sprint’s VPN. These products gave the corporate user the look and feel of working in their local private branch exchange (PBX) environment, even though the abbreviated dialing plan and office-to-office local intercom could be spread across the entire country, or even around the world. Today VPN is being used almost exclusively to describe new data networking capability offered by the carriers—and it has become increasingly popular among enterprise customers for many of the same reasons that these same companies were attracted to the VPNs’ voice predecessors.

    The Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF) defines a virtual private network as “the emulation of a private wide area network using public facilities, including the public Internet or private IP backbones.” Insight defines a VPN as secure, private data networking over the public Internet or private IP networks for individual user remote access, site-to-site, or corporation-to-corporation communications. The term virtual private network is meant to convey the sense that, from the user’s perspective, the network operates as if it is a private network, but in reality the network utilizes pieces of the public network. The user is assured that communications on the network remains private, meaning it can only be used by the business purchasing the service and cannot be accessed by the general public.

    Historically, enterprise data wide area networks (WANs) have been private and usually based on an infrastructure of private lines and non-public, secure connections such as frame relay. The growth of the Internet during the mid-1990s and its wide acceptance as a business tool presented the corporate data manager with some interesting choices. Certainly, the public Internet was a relatively easy and a less expensive way to interconnect enterprise LANs—but what manager would entrust that wide open public medium with confidential corporate materials and risk a career?

    The Attraction of a VPN

    With the advent of encryption and secure networking standards applicable to the public Internet, that corporate data manager could begin to seriously consider replacing private WANs and enterprise networks with virtual versions built around the Internet. In a sense, the VPN is a further evolution of the enterprise frame relay networks where communication sessions are established directly between devices on a permanent virtual circuit (PVC). But instead of linking devices across a private enterprise network, VPNs create tunnels (encrypted data communications sessions) directly between VPN devices across the public Internet.

    While tunneling allows a VPN to set up a secure transmission path for the VPN session, encryption protects the data packets being transmitted. As the tunnel defines a method for carrying private information across the shared network, encryption protects the contents of the tunnel. Encrypting data ensures that it remains private when sent over public networks. It also guarantees the authenticity and integrity of the data. 

    It is the ability to remotely access corporate data in a secure fashion that is the biggest selling point of a VPN service. The VPN allows mobile or telecommuting employees to access sensitive company data across an Internet connection while maintaining security. The VPN infrastructure is made up of access and transport networks. Transport occurs over the public Internet backbone utilizing transmission control protocol/Internet protocol (TCP/IP). There are essentially two types of access to the VPN network: 

    • Dial-up Access:
      Off-site and mobile users today generally utilize dial-up access for connecting to the VPN. These users can be company employees, telecommuters or traveling/mobile personnel, or customers and other trusted third party users. This type of access provides the user with client software for either their desktop or laptop computer. The client software includes encryption, security, and a directory of dial-up numbers for accessing the VPN service provider’s dial-up POP.

    • Dedicated Access:
      Dedicated access provides users at specific premises, such as branch offices, a direct connection from that premises to the VPN provider’s POP. As the name implies, dedicated access has heretofore been a point-to-point communications path established on a full-time basis between the customer’s premises or service site and the VPN service provider’s POP. This has traditionally been accomplished using some form of private line which could only be accessed by the users at the customer’s branch office location. However, alternative forms of high-speed, always-on access solutions (such as cable modems and DSL connections) are just now becoming available, and will begin to have a major impact on VPN markets in the years ahead. 

    Market Forecast

    Insight's research has identified several major trends that will have an impact on VPN market acceptance and growth: deployment of

    • broadband services in the local loop;
    • the trend toward network outsourcing; and
    • standardization of hardware and software.

    The growth of local access broadband connections is a major industry trend and will be a major driver in the growth of data VPN services in the years ahead. Dial-up access for VPNs is currently the most widely used for mobile workers and telecommuters. But over the next few years, Insight’s research suggests that dial-up connections will be displaced with the always-on broadband connection provided by either a DSL line or a cable modem. Telecommuters and smaller branch offices will increasingly turn to broadband to support their data networking needs including shared applications and large file transfers.

    Network outsourcing is also a major marketplace influence. Outsourcing has become very popular with large and multinational businesses due to configuration and management challenges, and a lack of scalability in many companies’ in-house solutions. Insight expects this trend to continue, not only because outsourcing has proven to be cost effective, but also because networks are becoming increasingly complex. 

    The lack of standardization affects both the service provider and the end-user. Customers installing VPNs today nearly always standardize around a single manufacturer’s hardware and software systems. This is as true for both the major multi-national corporations that install and manage their own systems as it is for smaller enterprises that install fully managed VPN services from their VPN service providers. The lack of standardization carriers through to the VPN service providers; they tend to create their own working standards by focusing on a single manufacturer to reduce any implementation and operational problems.


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    Market Segmentation

     

    • Total Revenue Growth in the US
      • Dedicated Access
      • Dial-up Access
      • Total VPN

    • Distribution of VPN Revenue
      • IXC
      • ISP
      • ILEC
      • CLEC

    • VPN Market Share
      • IXC
      • ISP
      • ILEC
      • CLEC

    • VPN Expenditures by Service Component
      • Equipment Expenditures
      • Software Expenditures
      • Consulting Expenditures

    • Network Outsourcing Revenue in the US
      • Total
      • Annual Growth

    • Cable Modem and DSL Revenue Growth
      • Homes
      • Small/Medium Businesses
      • Total Cable Modem & DSL


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    Table of Contents

     

    Chapter I
    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1.1 Background
    1.2 The Attraction of a VPN
    1.3 Market Forecast

    Chapter II
    EVOLUTION OF VPNS

    2.1 First Came Voice VPN
    2.1.1 Private Branch Exchange
    2.1.2 Private Voice Networks
    2.2 Data Networks
    2.2.1 Modems
    2.2.2 Private Line Networks
    2.2.3 Packet Network
    2.2.3.1 X.25
    2.2.3.2 Frame Relay
    2.3 The Internet
    2.3.1 IP Numbering
    2.3.2 VPN Routing and Routers
    2.4 The Next Generation Network
    2.4.1 Integration of Voice, Data, Video, Multimedia
    2.4.1.1 Voice and Data
    2.4.1.2 SONET and ATM
    2.4.1.3 VoIP
    2.4.1.4 H.323
    2.4.2 Integration of Call Control Signaling Systems
    2.4.3 Broadband Local Channel Connections to the NGN
    2.4.4 Service Bundling

    Chapter III
    DEFINING THE VPN

    3.1 A Basic Definition
    3.1.1 Local Area Networks
    3.1.2 Wide Area Networks
    3.1.3 Enterprise Networks
    3.1.4 VPNs
    3.1.4.1 Intranet VPNs
    3.1.4.2 Extranet VPNs
    3.2 Access and Transport
    3.2.1 Dial-up Access
    3.2.2 Dedicated Access
    3.2.3 Alternate Broadband Access: Digital Subscriber Line and Cable Modem
    3.2.4 Frame Relay and Asynchronous Transport Mode

    Chapter IV
    QUALITY, SECURITY, & COST ISSUES

    4.1 Quality of Service
    4.1.1 Service Level Agreements
    4.1.2 Bandwidth Guarantees and Issues
    4.1.3 Authentication
    4.2 Security
    4.2.1 Tunneling
    4.2.2 Encryption
    4.3 Cost Benefits of VPNs Over Private and Leased Line Networks
    4.3.1 Outsourcing
    4.3.2 Cost Savings and the Internet

    Chapter V
    VENDOR VPN OFFERINGS

    5.1 AT&T Corp.
    5.1.1 Worldwide VPN Service
    5.1.2 Price Flexibility
    5.1.3 Ordering and Provisioning
    5.2 Genuity, Inc.
    5.2.1 Three Primary Services
    5.3 PSINet, Inc.
    5.3.1 Switches and Routers
    5.3.2 Pricing for a Managed Service
    5.4 Qwest Communications International, Inc.
    5.4.1 Qwest VPN Designed as a Modular System
    5.4.2 Pricing and Ordering
    5.5 SBC Communications, Inc.
    5.5.1 VPN Services
    5.5.2 Pricing and Ordering
    5.6 Sprint Communications Company, L.P.
    5.6.1 Internet VPN Solutions
    5.6.2 Pricing
    5.6.3 VPN Provisioned Over Internet Backbone
    5.7 UUNET
    5.7.1 UUsecure VPN
    5.7.2 Packaged Pricing
    5.7.3 Ordering and Provisioning
    5.8 XO Communications
    5.8.1 Two VPN Service Offerings
    5.8.2 Ordering and Provisioning

    Chapter VI
    OVERVIEW OF MARKET AND TRENDS

    6.1 Definitions
    6.2 Discussion of Assumptions
    6.3 Trends Affecting Growth
    6.3.1 Standardization
    6.3.1.1 Hardware and Software
    6.3.2 Broadband Connections
    6.3.3 Network Outsourcing
    6.4 VPN Market Sizing, Analysis, and Structure
    6.4.1 Methodology
    6.5 Forecast and Analysis
    6.5.1 Types of VPNs
    6.5.1.1 Dial-Up Access
    6.5.1.2 Dedicated Access
    6.5.1.3 Total VPN Market Growth, 2000 through 2005
    6.5.2 VPN Revenue by Type of Carrier
    6.5.2.1 Interexchange Carriers
    6.5.2.2 Internet Service Providers
    6.5.2.3 Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers
    6.5.2.4 Competitive Local Exchange Carriers
    6.5.3 VPN Service Expenditures

    Table of Figures

    Chapter I
    I-1 Remote Access VPN
    I-2 VPN Access Revenue and Expenditures, 2000 and 2005 ($Millions)

    Chapter II
    II-1 PBX Architecture
    II-2 Centrex Architecture
    II-3 Simple Packet Diagram

    Chapter III
    III-1 Local Area Network
    III-2 Wide Area Network
    III-3 Enterprise Network
    III-4 Remote Access VPN
    III-5 Mega Merged Bank's Intranet
    III-6 Mega Merged Bank/Tiny Hometown Bank Extranet
    III-7 IMUX Diagram
    III-8 Dedicated Access
    III-9 DSL and Cable Modem Infrastructure

    Chapter IV
    IV-1 IPSec Encapsulated Security Payload
    IV-2 Encapsulated Secutiry Payload
    IV-3 Annual Cost to Support 1,000 Users Using Remote Access and VPN, 1998

    Chapter V
    V-1 AT&T IP Backbone Network, 2000
    V-2 Genuity Network Map, 2000
    V-3 PSINet's Network Map, 2000
    V-4 Qwest IP Network Map, 2000
    V-5 UUNET Network Map, 2000
    V-6 XO Network Map, 2000
    V-7 XO Dedicated Access Diagram, 2000

    Chapter VI
    VI-1 Distribution of VPN Revenues by Carrier Types, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-2 Total VPN Market Revenue Growth, 2000-2005 ($Millions)

    Table of Tables

    Chapter II
    II-1 Usable Range of First Byte Values
    II-2 Number of Addresses Available in Subnets

    Chapter III
    III-1 Cable Modems and DSL Transmission Speeds

    Chapter IV
    IV-1 VPN Design, Installation and Maintenance, 2000
    IV-2 In-House Versus Outsourced VPN Costs, 1998
    IV-3 Annual Cost to Support 1,000 Users, 1998 ($Thousands)

    Chapter V
    V-1 AT&T Service Level Agreements
    V-2 General Provisioning Process
    V-3 PSINet's Average Round Trip Transmission Between PSINet-Designated Backbone POPs
    V-4 PSINet's Packet Success SLA
    V-5 UUsecure Authentication Services

    Chapter VI
    VI-1 Cable Modem and DSL Revenue Growth for Homes and Small/Medium Businesses in the US, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-2 Network Outsourcing Revenue in the US, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-3 Revenue Growth for Dial-Up Access VPNs in the US, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-4 Revenue Growth for Dedicated Access VPNs in the US, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-5 Total Dial-Up and Dedicated Access Revenue Growth in the US, 2000 to 2005 ($Millions)
    VI-6 Distribution of VPN Revenues by Carrier Type, 2000-2005 ($Millions)
    VI-7 VPN Market Share by Carrier Type, 2000 and 2005
    VI-8 VPN Expenditures by Service Component, 2000-2005 ($Millions)

    Appendix
    Glossary of Terms


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