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Private Line and Wavelength Services 2009-2014
a market research report
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Converged solutions using VoIP and MPLS are driving
the demand for local private lines. In addition, we are forecasting
continued demand for wireless backhaul. Overall, the market for high
speed point-to-point circuits will remain moderately positive through
the forecast period. This report also provides an update on the status
of new copper technologies and their deployment vis-a-vis the more
traditional fiber private line solutions.
Does the demand for bandwidth translate into increasing revenue for
private lines? The emergence of nationwide 4G wireless solutions will
alter the competitive landscape. Will the 4G rollout lead to a wireless
glut similar to the fiber glut in 2001? This report explores the
question of how and when the new 4G infrastructures will create a threat
to traditional landline private lines.
Private Line & Wavelength Services, 2008-2013 details revenue and
circuit counts by carrier type, and defines the split between wholesale
and retail sales of T-carrier (T1, T3) and OC-N circuits (OC-3, OC-12,
OC-48, OC 192, OC-768), gigabit Ethernet, and wavelength services.
Insight’s annual study illustrates how carriers and their customers
continue to move to higher capacity circuits in order to reap the
benefits of lower cost-per-bit transport.
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Report Excerpt
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The private line market has
undergone a number of transitions through the years, and at the start of
2010 the market is in the midst of yet another transition. One phase in the
growth of private lines was the introduction of packet services such as ATM
(asynchronous transfer mode) and frame relay in the late 80’s and through
most of the 1990’s. These services shared the time slots and allowed
enterprises to build nationwide data networks at reasonable cost. Each user
appeared to have a dedicated network—though these “networks” actually shared
the private line among many users. Because the FCC defines revenue from
such services as private lines (since they provide dedicated transport
between locations) the growth in frame relay/ATM services fueled the revenue
growth of private line in the 80’s and 90’s. Today, service providers have
IP (Internet protocol) networks that bit for bit are priced lower than
comparable ATM and frame relay services. As customers migrate from frame
relay/ATM to IP networks, private line revenue is taking a hit. While the
total service provider revenue may look flat because what had been private
line revenue now shows up as IP revenue, it is not a pretty picture for
private line product managers. This transition is creating an upheaval that
is likely to last another couple of years.
While this decline is
occurring in frame relay/ATM, other parts of the private line industry are
growing. Voice services are migrating to VoIP (voice over Internet
protocol), and this application is driving the demand for private lines.
The enterprise customers are attracted to VoIP solutions because they
promise to reduce telecommunications expense and improve employee
productivity. Other growth areas include .......
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Market Segmentation
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Private Line Revenue
By Service Type
Local
Long Distance
By Carrier Type
IXC
ILEC
CLEC
New Entrants (CATV & Fixed Wireless)
By Wholesale vs. Retail
Wholesale
Retail
Market Share
Retail
New Carrier Type
Dominant
Other Long Haul
Regional
New Entrant
Private Line Circuit Counts
By Circuit Class
DS-1, T-1
DS-3, T-3
OC-3
OC-12
OC-48
OC-192
Wavelength Services Revenue
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Table of Contents
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Chapter I
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 Private Line Services: Another
Transition
1.2 Competition in the Local Loop
1.3 Traditional Private Lines
1.4 Alternatives to Private Line
Services
1.5 Revenue Forecast for Private Lines:
A Summary
Chapter II
BACKGROUND
2.1 History and Development of Private
Line Services
2.2 Evolution of Private Line Technology
2.2.1
Transition to Digital Networks
2.2.2
SONET and Optical Carrier Transmission
2.2.3
Internet Protocol
2.2.4
Private Line Emulation
2.3 Types of Providers
2.3.1
IXCs
2.3.2
Local Exchange Carriers
2.3.2.1 ILECs
2.3.2.2 CLECs
2.3.2.3 Cable MSOs
2.4 Description of Traditional Private
Line Services
2.4.1
Circuit Types
2.4.1.1 56 Kbit/s Circuits
2.4.1.2 64 Kbit/s Clear-Channel Circuits (DS0)
2.4.1.3 Fractional T1 Circuits
2.4.1.4 Frame Relay/ATM Circuits
2.4.1.5 T1 Circuits (DS1)
2.4.1.6 Fractional T3 Circuits (Fractional DS3)
2.4.1.7 T3 Circuits (DS3)
2.4.1.8 Optical Carrier Circuits
2.4.1.9 IRUs and Dark Fiber
2.4.2
Circuit Ordering
2.4.3
Circuit Layout
2.4.4
Redundancy & Restoration
Chapter III
TRENDS, APPLICATIONS, AND MARKETS
3.1 Overview
3.2 Traditional Applications
3.2.1
Dedicated Private Line Networks
3.2.2
Interexchange Private Line
3.2.3
Local Private Lines
3.2.4
Adding Voice to Data
3.2.5
Packet Networks
3.2.6
VPNs
3.2.7
Special Access
3.3 The Newer Applications
3.3.1
Internet Access
3.3.2
Integrated Access
3.3.2.1 Integrated Access Device Solutions
3.3.2.2 VoIP Standards Based Integrated Access
3.3.3
Wireless
3.4 Regulation
3.4.1
FCC Today
3.4.2
FCC Historical Perspective
3.4.3
Future Regulatory Considerations
3.5 Industry Consolidation
3.5.1
IXCs
3.5.2
ILECs
3.5.3
CLEC
3.5.4
Wireless
3.5.5
ISPs
3.5.6
Other Long Haul Carriers
3.6 New Entrants (CATV and Fixed
Wireless)
3.6.1
Cable MSOs
3.6.2
Fixed Wireless
3.7 Markets
3.7.1
Wholesale vs. Retail Markets
3.7.1.1 Wholesale Services
3.7.1.2 Local Resellers
3.7.1.3 Long Distance Resellers
3.7.2
Retail
3.7.2.1 Retail Trends
3.7.2.2 Retail Segments
3.7.2.3 Large Enterprise
3.7.2.4 Small/Medium Enterprises
3.7.3
Consumer Impact
Chapter IV
EMERGING PRIVATE LINE SERVICES
4.1 Ethernet Services
4.1.1
Ethernet Services Technology
4.1.2
MPLS
4.1.3
Ethernet Over Copper
4.1.4
Impact on Private Line Markets
4.2 Wavelength Services
4.2.1
Carrier Segment
4.2.2
Large Enterprise Segment
4.2.3
Development of Wavelength Services
4.2.4
Wavelength Services Technology
4.2.5
Impact on Private Line Markets
4.2.6
Example Wavelength Service Providers
4.2.7
Wavelength Services Market Direction
Chapter V
NETWORK PROVIDERS
5.1 Overview
5.2 AT&T Corporation
5.2.1
Network Architecture
5.2.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.2.3
Wholesale Private Line
5.2.4
Other Services Offered
5.3 Cox Business Services
5.3.1
Private Line Services Offered
5.3.2
Other Services Offered
5.4 Global Crossing
5.4.1
Network Architecture
5.4.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.4.3
Other Services Offered
5.5 Level3 Communications, Inc.
5.5.1
Network Architecture
5.5.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.5.3
Other Services Offered
5.6 Optimum Lightpath
5.6.1
Network Architecture
5.6.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.7 Qwest Communications International,
Inc.
5.7.1
Network Architecture
5.7.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.7.3
Other Services Offered
5.8 Sprint
5.8.1
Network Architecture
5.8.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.8.3
Other Services Offered
5.9 Time Warner Telecom
5.9.1
Network Architecture
5.9.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.9.3
Other Services Offered
5.10 Verizon Communications
5.10.1
Network Architecture
5.10.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.10.3
Other Services Offered
5.11 XO Communications
5.11.1
Network Architecture
5.11.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.11.3
Other Services Offered
Chapter VI
MARKET FORECASTS
6.1 Private Line Market Summary
6.1.1
Methodology
6.1.2
Definitions
6.2 Forecasts and Analyses
6.2.1
Total Market
6.2.2
Local and Long Distance
6.2.3
Wholesale and Retail
6.2.4
Carrier Types
6.2.4.
1 ILECs
6.2.4.2 CLECs
6.2.4.3 IXCs
6.2.4.4 New Entrants
6.2.4.5 Totals by Carrier Type
6.2.5 Wavelength
Services
6.2.5.1 Carrier Types Using New Industry Structure
6.2.6 Circuit Class
6.2.6.1 Local Circuit Count
6.2.6.2 Long Distance Circuit Count
Table of Figures
Chapter I
I-1 Global Carrier Revenue by Region, 2010-2015
Chapter II
II-1 Capacities of 64Kbit/s, T1, and T3
Circuits
II-2 Typical Layout for a Full
II-3 ISDN Switched Backup
II-4 SONET Rings
II-5 Fiber-to-Fiber Redundancy
II-6 Cable-to-Cable Physical Redundancy
(Diverse Cable Redundancy)
Chapter III
III-1 Evolution of Private Line Market
III-2 Typical Circuit Switched Voice Network
III-3 Typical Packet Switched Network
III-4 Qwest Frame Relay Network
III-5 Typical IP Network
III-6 Interexchange Private Line Architecture
III-7 Managed Packet Network - Virtual Private Line
III-8 Internet Access Architecture
III-9 Integrated Services Architecture
III-10 Verizon VoIP (SIP) Solution
III-11 Typical Backhaul Configuration
III-12 Telephone Subscribers among Major Cable MSOs, December 2006-2008
III-13 AT&T Data Transport Revenue Growth (2005-2009)
Chapter IV
IV-1 Resilient Packet Ring Technology
Chapter V
V-1 Level3 Network Map
V-2 Level3 Private Line Metro Service
V-3 Qwest Network
V-4 Sprint Global MPLS Network (North American Assets)
V-5 XO Private Line Network
Chapter VI
VI-1 Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2009-2014
VI-2 Wholesale Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type,
2009-2014
VI-3 Retail Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type,
2009-2014
VI-4 Wavelength Services Revenue Totals, 2009-2014
VI-5 Enterprise Private Line Market Share
VI-6 Private Line Revenue by Carrier Type Using New Segment
Definitions, 2009-2014
Table of Tables
Chapter I
I-1 Worldwide Telecom Revenue Forecast by
Services Category, 2010-2015
Chapter II
II-1 Digital Services Hierarchy
II-2 SONET/Optical Carrier Hierarchy
II-3 Coordinated vs. Non-Coordinated Circuits
Chapter III
III-1 Continuing Industry Consolidation
III-2 CLEC Mergers and Acquisitions, 2002-2006
III-3 ADSL vs. Coaxial Cable: Number of High Speed Lines,
2003-2007
Chapter IV
IV-1 SONET and Ethernet Defined Transmission Rates
IV-2 Wavelength Market Segments
IV-3 Typical Service Provider Offers for Native Wavelength
Services
IV-4 Typical Service Providers Offers for Wavelength
Services Over SONET
Chapter V
V-1 Carrier Network Architecture
Comparison
Chapter VI
VI-1 Total Private Line Revenue 2009-2014
VI-2 Private Line Revenue, Local vs. Long Distance,
2009-2014
VI-3 Private Line Revenue by Wholesale/Retail
Segments, 2009-2014
VI-4 Revenue for Local Private Line by
Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2009-2014
VI-5 Revenue for LD Private Line by Wholesale/Retail
Segments, 2009-2014
VI-6 ILEC Private Line Revenues, Local and Long
Distance, 2009-2014
VI-7 ILEC Private Line Revenues by Wholesale/Retail
Segments, 2009-2014
VI-8 CLEC Private Line Revenues, Local and Long
Distance, 2009-2014
VI-9 CLEC Private Line Revenues by Wholesale/Retail
Segments, 2009-2014
VI-10 IXC Private Line Revenue, Local and Long Distance
2009-2014
VI-11 IXC Private Line Revenues by Wholesale/Retail Segments,
2009-2014
VI-12 New Entrants Private Line Revenues by Local and Long Dist.
Seg., 2009-2014
VI-13 New Entrants Private Line Revenues by Wholesale/Retail
Segments, 2009-2014
VI-14 Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2009-2014
VI-15 Wholesale Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type,
2009-2014
VI-16 Retail Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type,
2009-2014
VI-17 Wavelength Services Revenue Totals, 2009-2014
VI-18 Private Line Revenue by Carrier Type Using New Segment
Definitions, 2009-2014
VI-19 Local Private Line, Estimated Circuit Count by Circuit
Class, 2009-2014
VI-20 LD Private Line - Estimated Circuit Count by Circuit
Class, 2009-2014
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