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Private Line and Wavelength Services 2010-2015
a market research report
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Converged solutions using VoIP and MPLS are driving
the demand for local private lines. In addition, we are forecasting
continued demand for wireless backhaul. Overall, the market for high
speed point to point circuits will remain moderately positive through
the forecast period. This report will also provide an update on the
status of new copper technologies and their deployment vis-à-vis the
more traditional fiber private line solutions.
Does the demand for bandwidth translate into increasing revenue for
private lines? The emergence of nationwide 4G wireless solutions will
alter the competitive landscape. Will the 4G rollout lead to a wireless
glut similar to the fiber surplus in 2001? This report explores the
question of how and when the new 4G infrastructures will create a threat
to traditional landline private lines.
A private line is a dedicated non-switched circuit or channel that is
leased for a specified period. This channel provides a private and
direct connection between at least two sites. Private Line & Wavelength
Services, 2010-2015 details revenue and circuit counts by carrier type,
and defines the split between wholesale and retail sales of T-carrier
(T1, T3) and OC-N circuits (OC-3, OC-12, OC-48, OC 192, OC-768), gigabit
Ethernet, and wavelength
services. Insight’s annual study illustrates how carriers and their
customers continue to move to higher capacity circuits in order to reap
the benefits of lower cost-per-bit transport.
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Report Excerpt
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1.1 Private Line Services: Renewed Growth on the Horizon
Taking our cue from Mark Twain, it would appear that reports of the death of
private lines have been greatly exaggerated. In fact, the private line
market appears to be on the verge of yet another growth phase as a
consequence of the rollout of 4G (fourth generation) wireless services
utilizing WiMAX (wireless interoperability for microwave access) and LTE
(line terminal equipment) technologies.
Wireless voice services contributed to private line growth in an earlier
period when all of those cell sites needed to be connected to the backbone
network of wireless operators. More recently, growth was driven by iPhone,
Blackberry, iPad, Kindle and Treo applications that boosted data traffic
usage on the wireless networks. Now everyone realizes that wireless video
and data applications on 4G networks will significantly increase the need
for backhaul traffic—which is going to underpin yet another growth spurt in
the private line marketplace.
Wireless operators are looking for higher speed links and in turn service
providers are laying fiber and developing fixed wireless solutions to cell
sites. These connections based on both TDM (time division multiplexing) and
IP (Internet protocol) protocols are being deployed by .................
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Market Segmentation
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Private Line Revenue
By Service Type
Local
Long Distance
By Carrier Type
IXC
ILEC
CLEC
New Entrants (CATV & Fixed Wireless)
By Wholesale vs. Retail
Wholesale
Retail
Market Share
Retail
New Carrier Type
Dominant
Other Long Haul
Regional
New Entrant
Private Line Circuit Counts
By Circuit Class
DS-1, T-1
DS-3, T-3
OC-3
OC-12
OC-48
OC-192
Wavelength Services Revenue
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Table of Contents
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Chapter I
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 Private Line Services: Renewed Growth on
the Horizon
1.2 Private Line Defined
1.3 Growth Drivers
1.4 Regulatory Actions and Private Lines
1.5 Competition in the Local Loop
1.6 Traditional Private Lines
1.7 Alternatives to Private Line Services
1.8 Revenue Forecast for Private Lines: A
Summary
Chapter II
BACKGROUND
2.1 History and Development of Private Line
Services
2.2 Evolution of Private Line Technology
2.2.1
Transition to Digital Networks
2.2.2 SONET and Optical Carrier Transmission
2.2.3
Internet Protocol
2.2.4
Private Line Emulation
2.3 Types of Providers
2.3.1 IXCs
2.3.2
Local Exchange Carriers
2.4 Description of Traditional Private Line
Services
2.4.1
Circuit Types
2.4.2
Circuit Ordering
2.4.3
Circuit Layout
2.4.4
Redundancy & Restoration
Chapter III
TRENDS, APPLICATIONS, AND MARKETS
3.1 Overview
3.2 Traditional Applications
3.2.1
Dedicated Private Line Networks
3.2.2 Interexchange Private Line
3.2.3
Local Private Lines
3.2.4
Adding Voice to Data
3.2.5
Packet Networks
3.2.6 VPNs
3.2.7
Special Access
3.3 The Newer Applications
3.3.1
Internet Access
3.3.2
Integrated Access
3.3.3
Wireless
3.4 Regulation
3.4.1
FCC Today
3.4.2
FCC Historical Perspective
3.4.3
Future Regulatory Considerations
3.5 Industry Consolidation
3.5.1 IXCs
3.5.2 ILECs
3.5.3 CLEC
3.5.4
Wireless
3.5.5
ISPs
3.5.6
Other Long Haul Carriers
3.6 New Entrants (CATV and Fixed Wireless)
3.6.1 Cable MSOs
3.6.2
Fixed Wireless
3.7 Markets
3.7.1
Wholesale vs. Retail Markets
3.7.2
Retail
3.7.3
Consumer Impact
Chapter IV
ALTERNATE PRIVATE LINE SERVICES
4.1 Overview
4.2 Ethernet Services
4.2.1 Ethernet versus SONET
4.2.2
Ethernet Services Technology
4.2.3 MPLS
4.2.4
Ethernet Over Copper
4.2.5
Impact on Private Line Markets
4.3 Wavelength Services
4.3.1
Carrier Segment
4.3.2
Large Enterprise Segment
4.3.3
Development of Wavelength Services
4.3.4
Wavelength Services Technology
4.3.5
Impact on Private Line Markets
4.3.6
Example Wavelength Service Providers
4.3.7
Wavelength Services Market Direction
Chapter V
NETWORK PROVIDERS
5.1 Overview
5.2 AT&T Corporation
5.2.1
Network Architecture
5.2.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.2.3
Wholesale Private Line
5.2.4
Other Services Offered
5.3 Cox Business Services
5.3.1
Private Line Services Offered
5.3.2
Other Services Offered
5.4 Global Crossing
5.4.1
Network Architecture
5.4.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.4.3
Other Services Offered
5.5 Level3 Communications, Inc.
5.5.1
Network Architecture
5.5.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.5.3
Other Services Offered
5.6 Optimum Lightpath
5.6.1
Network Architecture
5.6.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.7 Paetec
5.7.1
Network Architecture
5.7.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.7.3
Other Services Offered
5.8 CenturyLink/Qwest Communications
International, Inc.
5.8.1
Network Architecture
5.8.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.8.3
Other Services Offered
5.9 Sprint
5.9.1
Network Architecture
5.9.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.9.3
Other Services Offered
5.10 Time Warner Telecom
5.10.1
Network Architecture
5.10.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.10.3
Other Services Offered
5.11 Verizon Communications
5.11.1
Network Architecture
5.11.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.11.3
Other Services Offered
5.12 XO Communications
5.12.1
Network Architecture
5.12.2
Private Line Services Offered
5.12.3
Other Services Offered
Chapter VI
MARKET FORECASTS
6.1 Private Line Market Summary
6.1.1
Methodology
6.1.2
Definitions
6.2 Forecasts and Analyses
6.2.1
Total Market
6.2.2
Local and Long Distance
6.2.3
Wholesale and Retail
6.2.4
Carrier Types
6.2.5
Wavelength Services
6.2.6
Circuit Class
Table of Figures
Chapter I
I-1 Typical Layout for a Full Circuit
I-2 Total Private Line Revenue, 2010-2015
Chapter II
II-1 Capacities of 64Kbit/s, T1, and T3 Circuits
II-2 Typical Layout for a Full Circuit
II-3 ISDN Switched Backup
II-4 SONET Rings
II-5 Fiber-to-Fiber Redundancy
II-6 Cable-to-Cable Physical Redundancy
Chapter IV
IV-1 Resilient Packet Ring Technology
Chapter V
V-1 Level3 Network Map
V-2 Level3 Private Line Metro Service
V-3 Paetec Network prior to Cavalier Acquisition
V-4 Qwest Network
V-5 Sprint Global MPLS Network
V-6 Time Warner Network
V-7 Verizon’s Optical Point-to-Point Ethernet Platform
V-8 XO Private Line Network
Chapter VI
VI-1 Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-2 Wholesale Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-3 Retail Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-4 Wavelength Services Revenue Totals, 2010-2015
VI-5 PL Rev. by Carrier Type Using New Segment Definitions, 2010-2015
Table of Tables
Chapter II
II-1 Digital Services Hierarchy
II-2 SONET/Optical Carrier Hierarchy
II-3 Coordinated vs. Non-Coordinated Circuits
Chapter III
III-1 Continuing Industry Consolidation
III-2 CLEC Mergers and Acquisitions, 2002-2006
III-3 ADSL vs. Coaxial Cable: Number of High Speed Lines, 2003-2009
Chapter IV
IV-1 SONET and Ethernet Defined Transmission Rates
IV-2 Wavelength Market Segments 110
IV-3 Typical Service Provider Offers for Native Wavelength Services
IV-4 Typical Service Providers Offers for Wavelength Services Over SONET
Chapter V
V-1 Carrier Network Architecture Comparison
Chapter VI
VI-1 Total Private Line Revenue 2010-2015
VI-2 Private Line Revenue, Local vs. Long Distance, 2010-2015
VI-3 Private Line Revenue by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-4 Revenue for Local PL by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-5 Revenue for LD PL by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-6 ILEC PL Rev., Local and Long Distance, 2010-2015
VI-7 ILEC PL Rev. by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-8 CLEC PL Rev., Local and Long Distance, 2010-2015
VI-9 CLEC PL Rev. by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-10 IXC PL Rev., Local and Long Distance 2010-2015
VI-11 IXC PL Rev. by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-12 New Entrants PL Rev. by Local and Long Dist.Seg., 2010-2015
VI-13 New Entrants PL Rev. by Wholesale/Retail Segments, 2010-2015
VI-14 Private Line Revenue Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-15 Wholesale PL Rev. Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-16 Retail PL Rev. Totals by Carrier Type, 2010-2015
VI-17 Wavelength Services Revenue Totals, 2010-2015
VI-18 PL Rev. by Carrier Type Using New Seg. Definitions,
2010-2015
VI-19 Local PL, Estimated Circuit Count by Circuit Class, 2010-2015
VI-20 LD PL - Estimated Circuit Count by Circuit Class, 2010-2015
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