Table of Contents
Chapter I
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 Telecommunications Industry Economic Conditions
1.2 Report Structure

Chapter II
BACKGROUND:
Telecommunications Industry Markets
2.1 Telecommunications Market Conditions
2.1.1 Global Broadband Forecasts
2.1.1.1 North America Broadband Trends and Forecasts
2.1.1.2 Europe/Middle East/Africa Broadband Trends and Forecasts
2.1.1.3 Asia Pacific Broadband Trends and Forecasts
2.1.1.4 Latin America/Caribbean Broadband Trends and Forecasts
2.2 Wireless Industry Markets
2.2.1 Analysis of Worldwide 2G, 2.5G, and 3G Wireless Markets
2.2.2 US Wireless Trends
2.3 Cable Television
2.3.1 History of Cable TV
2.3.2 Cable Telephony

Chapter III
THE NEXT-GENERATION COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK:
Improvements to the Infrastructure
3.1 Overview of Network Topology
3.1.1 End-Users
3.1.2 Access Networks
3.1.3 Metro Networks
3.1.4 Core Networks
3.2 Transmission Improvements
3.3 Overview of Switching Technologies
3.3.1 Circuit Switching vs. Packet Switching
3.3.2 Switch Definitions
3.4 Telecommunications Networks
3.4.1 Evolution of the PSTN
3.4.2 Changes to the PSTN by 2006
3.4.3 Central Offices
3.5 Data Networks and Switch Growth
3.5.1 Broadband Switches
3.5.2 Data Core Networks
3.5.2.1 Changes in Data Core Networks by 2006
3.5.3 Data Metro Networks
3.5.4 Data Access Networks
3.5.5 Signaling and Support Structures for Data Networks
3.5.6 Enterprise Data Networks
3.6 The Next Generation Network
3.6.1 Gateways
3.6.2 Softswitches
3.6.2.1 Economic Motivations
3.6.2.2 Softswitch Revenue Growth
3.7 Optical Networking
3.7.1 Overview
3.7.2 Add Drop Multiplexers
3.7.2.1 ADM Market Opportunity
3.7.3 Optical Cross Connects
3.7.3.1 Cross Connect Market Analysis
3.7.4 Present and Future DWDM Systems
3.7.4.1 Long-Haul Systems
3.7.4.2 Metropolitan Systems
3.7.5 Market Analysis of SONET/SDH & DWDM Systems
3.8 Optical Components
3.8.1 Optical Transmitters
3.8.1.1 Tunable Lasers Diodes
3.8.1.2 Modulators
3.8.2 Optical Receivers
3.8.3 Market Analysis of Optical Subsystem and Components
3.9 Optical Fiber
3.9.1 Development of Fiber
3.9.1.1 Dispersion-Shifted Fiber
3.9.1.2 Non-Zero Dispersion-Shifted Fiber
3.9.2 Future Fiber Design
3.9.3 Market Analysis of Fiber Deployment

Chapter IV
THE ACCESS NETWORK:
Narrowband and Broadband
4.1 Narrowband Access Networks
4.1.1 Primary and Secondary Access Line Growth
4.1.2 Narrowband Access Line Forecast
4.2 Broadband Access Networks
4.2.1 Broadband Access Forecasts
4.3 Access Network Technology Options
4.3.1 DSL
4.3.2 Cable
4.3.3 Fiber
4.3.4 Fixed Broadband Wireless
4.3.5 WiFi

Chapter V
SUPPORTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE:
Network and Customer Support
5.1 Operations Support Systems Overview
5.2 Operations Support Applications
5.2.1 Business Operations Support
5.2.1.1 Customer Care
5.2.1.2 Service Orders
5.2.1.3 Billing Mediation
5.2.1.4 Rating
5.2.1.5 Billing
5.2.2 Network Operations Support
5.2.2.1 Engineering and Planning
5.2.2.2 Provisioning
5.2.2.3 Trouble/Repair
5.2.3 Network Management
5.2.4 OSS Market Structure: Demand Side View

Chapter VI
PRESENT AND FUTURE COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES MARKETS
6.1 Changing Patterns of Telecommunications Usage
6.1.1 US Business vs. Residential Wireline Markets
6.1.2 The Impact of Wireless on Wireline Residential Market
6.1.2.1 Wireline Residential LD Usage
6.1.2.2 Total Residential LD Usage
6.1.2.3 Residential Call Distribution and Duration
6.1.2.4 Residential Monthly Telecom Usage
6.1.2.5 Other Factors Impacting Long Distance Usage
6.1.2.6 Residential Telecommunications Spending Trends
6.2 VoIP
6.3 IP-Based Application Services
6.3.1 Conferencing Services
6.3.2 Unified Messaging
6.3.3 Instant Messaging
6.3.4 Mobility Management
6.3.5 Overall Enhanced IP Services Revenue Forecast
6.4 Streaming Media
6.4.1 Infrastructure Requirements for Streaming Media
6.4.2 Streaming Media Markets Analysis
6.5 WiFi
6.5.1 Comparing WiFi in NA and Europe
6.5.2 WiFi Market Drivers
6.5.2.1 Internet Growth
6.5.2.2 Home Computing Devices
6.5.2.3 Mobile Computing Devices
6.5.2.4 Wireless Internet Access
6.5.3 WiFi Market Segments
6.5.4 WiFi Market Forecasts


Table of Figures

Chapter I
I-1 Worldwide Telecommunications Services Market Segment Revenue Base and Growth, 2004-2009 ($Millions)

Chapter II
II-1 Broadband Services Revenue Distribution
II-2 Global Carrier Revenue Distribution by Region, 2004 and 2009 ($Millions)
II-3 Impact of New Wireless Data Service Usage on Average Revenue per User

Chapter III
III-1 Public Communication Network Architecture
III-2 SONET Ring Configuration
III‑3 Hierarchy of Broadband Switch Functions
III‑4 Broadband Switches in the US Compared with Increase in Throughput, 2000-2006
III-5 US Broadband Switch Revenue, 2001-2006 ($Millions)
III‑6 Typical National Data Core Network
III‑7 Core Network Configurations by Type of Traffic Pattern
III-8 Worldwide Gateway Revenue Forecast, 2003-2008 ($Thousands)
III-9 Softswitch Architecture Diagram
III-10 Circuit vs. Packet Switching of Internet Traffic
III-11 Switched Optical/Electrical Networks vs. All-Optical IP Meshed Networks
III-12 Total ADM Revenue, 2003 and 2008 ($Millions)
III-13 Origins of the Digital Cross Connect
III-14 Evolution of the Digital Cross Connect
III-15 DCS Forecast Summary, 2000-2005, ($Millions)
III-16 Long-Haul DWDM System
III-17 Two Ways to Expand DWDM Capacity
III-18 Total SONET/SDH Terminal Market, 2000-2008 ($Billions)
III-19 Total DWDM Sales, 2000-2008 ($Billions)
III-20 ITU-T Wavelength Spacing Grid for DWDM Systems (Nanometers)
III-21 DWDM Bands Around 1550 Nanometers
III-22 Worldwide Optical Components Market, 2000-2008 ($Billions)
III-23 Four-Wave Mixing
III-24 Fiber Deployment Percentage of Total by Region, 2000 vs. 2008

Chapter IV
IV-1 US Access Line Annual Additions, 1985-2002 (Millions)
IV-2 US LEC Access Line Quarterly Additions, 1999-2003 (Thousands)
IV-3 US Wireline Access Annual Reductions, 2001-2008 (Thousands)
IV-4 Worldwide PCs Online, 2003-2008 (Millions)
IV-5 HFC Architecture Providing Video and Voice Services
IV-6 WiFi Hotspot Locations, 2003-2008

Chapter V
V-1 OSS Dataflow
V-2 Business Operations Systems Dataflow
V-3 Total Worldwide OSS Sales Revenue, 2002-2007 ($Millions)
V-4 Worldwide OSS Sales Distribution by Region, 2002 and 2006

Chapter VI

VI-1 US Total Wireline Revenue, 2003-2008 ($Billions)
VI-2 US Wireline Expenditures by Business vs. Residential, 2003-2008 ($Billions)
VI-3 Residential Wireline LD Minutes per Month, 1997-2003
VI-4 Residential Wireless LD Minutes per Month, 1998-2003
VI-5 Total Residential LD Minutes per Month, 1998-2003
VI-6 Distribution of Residential Wireless LD in Minutes, 1998-2003
VI-7 Distribution of Residential Wireline LD in Minutes, 1997-2003
VI-8 Residential Wireline LD Call Duration, 1995 to 2003
VI-9 Residential Wireline Monthly Usage 1998-2003
VI-10 Average Monthly Residential Telecommunications Spending, 1995-2003
VI-11 LD Price per Minute, 1992-2003
VI-12 Worldwide Voice Revenues, VoP vs. Circuit, Wireline vs. Wireless, 2002-2007 ($Millions)
VI-13 US Total Streaming Media Market, 2003-2008 ($Millions)
VI-14 Years to reach 50 Million Users (Radio, TV, PCs, Internet)
VI-15 Global Internet Usage by Region, 2003-2008 (Millions of Internet Users)
VI-16 Global Mobile Computing Usage by Region, 2003-2008 (Millions of Mobile Computing Devices)
VI-17 Global Handheld Usage by Region, 2003-2008 (Millions of Devices in Use)


Table of Tables

Chapter II
II-1 Worldwide Telecommunications Services Market Segment Revenue Base and Growth, 2004-2009 ($Millions)
II-2 Worldwide Wireline and Wireless Revenue Base 2004-2009 ($Millions)
II-3 Worldwide Telecom Revenue Forecast by Services Category, 2004-2009 ($Millions)
II-4 Top 15 Economies by Broadband Penetration, 2003
II-5 Broadband Consumer Applications and Required Bandwidth
II-6 Global Broadband Wireline Carrier Revenue by Region, 2004-2009 ($Millions)
II-7 Examples of 2.5G and 3G Services
II-8 Revenue for 2G, 2.5G, and 3G Market Segments by Region, 2002-2007 ($Millions)

Chapter III
III‑1 Definitions of Digital Private Line Services
III‑2 SONET Data Rates
III-3 Characteristics of Network Switching Methods
III‑4 Distinctions between POTS and Data Networks
III-5 Network Locations of Broadband Switches
III-6 Gateway Functions
III-7 Softswitch Advantages/Disadvantages
III-8 Economic Benefits of Softswitch Technology
III-9 Strategies to Increase Network Service Margins
III-10 Softswitch Revenues and Estimated Growth, 2000-2007
III-11 OADM Applications
III-12 Typical Features of First Generation Metropolitan vs. Long-Haul DWDM Networks
III-13 ITU-T Frequency and Wavelength Grid for DWDM Systems
III-14 Fiber Deployment by Region, 2000-2008 (Gigameters)

Chapter IV
IV-1 Broadband Communication Network Access Solutions
IV-2 Online PCs, North America and Rest of World, Home vs. SME, 2000-2008 (Millions)
IV-3 Bandwidth Demand, North America vs. Rest of World, Home vs. SME, 2000-2008 (Gbit/s)
IV-4 Worldwide Homes and SMEs with Broadband (BB) Subscriptions, 2003-2008 (Thousands)
IV-5 The Versions and Features of xDSL
IV-6 FBW Unlicensed, Licensed Microwave, and Licensed Millimeter Spectrum

Chapter V
V-1 OSS Definitions Summary
V-1 OSS Definitions Summary (continued)
V-2 Characteristics of Broadband Network Management
V-3 Distinct Characteristics of Packet Broadband Network Management
V-4 Worldwide OSS Sales by Region, 2002-2007 ($Millions)
V-5 Worldwide OSS Sales Revenue, Wireline vs. Wireless, 2002-2007 ($Millions)
V-6 Worldwide OSS Sales Revenue by Service Type, 2002-2007 ($Millions)

Chapter VI
VI-1 US Total Wireline Revenue by Type of Provider, 2003-2008 ($Billions)
VI-2 US Business Wireline Revenue by Type of Provider, 2003-2008 ($Billions)
VI-3 NA IP Applications Services Revenues by Type, 2002-2007 ($Millions)
VI-4 US Total Streaming Media Market, 2003-2008 ($Millions)
VI-5 802.11 Standards Definitions
VI-6 Total Worldwide WiFi Revenue, 2003-2008 ($Billions)
 

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