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Introduction to Updated Report
This update is based on the original report entitled
Telecommunications Services in Vertical Markets,
published by Insight Research Corp. in September. 1996,
with updated information and analysis, based on data
available in mid-1998. Like the earlier report, on
Telecommunications Services in Vertical
Markets, this update begins with total
telecommunications revenues, divides them between the
business and residential markets, and then examines the
driving forces in each of the twelve selected vertical
markets. This volume utilizes the definitions established
in Insights 1996 report. Its goal is to draw the
readers attention to the changes in the
telecommunications markets that have occurred in the last
two years, while sticking to the format and methodology
established in the original report.
The term vertical market, as used here,
refers to industry-specific markets defined by unique
SICs issued by the US Dept. of Commerce. In contrast,
horizontal markets refer to occupations or
functions, like sales and accounting, that are part of
many different industries.
Insight has increased the number of leading vertical
industries covered from eight to fourteen. We have also
updated the revenue forecasts for the various telecom
services, now showing the rapid growth of wireless
services, plus the impact of competition in local
telephone markets. Also, we have almost doubled the
number of categories of communications services detailed
because of the presence of new families of services based
upon newly developed technologies that are being offered
by competing communications companies.
The predictions and segmentations in this report are
based on data from the Bureau of the Census, a division
of the US Department of Commerce, from the publication
Statistical Abstract of the United States: 1997. (The
study includes information from reports published by the
US Bureau of Labor.) Every three years the government
counts all establishments in the US and notes which
industry they are in by Standard Industry Codes (SICs).
The statistics show 6.66 million establishments or places
of business in the US in 1998. The data in the following
study is based on establishmentsoffices,
warehouses, schools, retail outlets or any place where
people work, and thus need telephones and communications.
The number of separate corporations or organizations is
not counted, as the government does not know whether a
site is a stand-alone business, a franchise, or part of a
larger organization. Insight estimates that there are
126.2 million civilian workers in all businesses and
government agencies. This does not include military,
retired or unemployed persons.
There are other existing estimates of establishments,
such as from Dun & Bradstreet, that are widely
accepted. Insight chooses to work with the Census
Bureaus numbers, rather than any others, for two
main reasons:
- They form the basis of all government actions and have
become the official number for business establishments;
and
- The numbers are based upon triennial census counts.
This is not to say that this number is the correct one
because definitions can be somewhat amorphous, especially
when one examines the self-employed and other forms of
small businesses. In fact, depending upon which source
one uses, the estimates for the number of establishments
may vary by as much as eighty percent, ranging from
around 6 million to about 11 million business
establishments.
New Ways of Looking at Telecommunications
Growth opportunities in telecommunications have shifted
from providing commodity services to customized services,
like Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) and packet-based
bandwidth on demand. New technologies have transformed
the telecommunications business model, which
traditionally emphasized horizontal services and carrier
control of networks, to a vertical focus that is more
customer- rather than carrier-centric. The key reason for
this shift is that communications has become much more
competitive, based not only on the Telecommunications
Reform Act of 1996 but also on technological and service
quality improvements from new market entrants. Today
corporate customers need to differentiate their services
and products by being better or faster, and are turning
to Information Technology (IT) to achieve this.
Benefits of Vertical Market Segmentation
Vertical industries are becoming more attractive markets
for telecom services because performance is carefully
measured, in contrast to general user
(consumer) markets, or a horizontal market
such as generic T-1 lines. In many vertical applications,
performance and the impact of telecom services are all
measured very carefully, as with nurses in hospitals,
police, and field salespeople. Thus the return on new
investments in communications can be calculated, making
purchases more easily justified.
Carriers and communications service suppliers focus on
vertical markets, since they present an opportunity to
provide high-margin value-added services. Two good
examples are the value bundles provided by
AT&Ts Advanced Network Solutions unit to
insurance, banking, retail, travel and healthcare
companies; and US Wests Federal government
applications.
In contrast, customers choose traditional telephone
services such as dial-tone or T-carrier services based
largely on price, since these are commodity services
provided by multiple competitors. Industry-specific
solutions, however, are a different matter. Here
opportunities abound for value-added services that not
only have higher profit margins, but also create customer
loyalty by developing a close link to the customer's core
business.
Vertical Markets Create Global Opportunities
The shift from traditional product marketing to vertical
marketing strategies--touting industry solutions rather
than individual products and services--means a greater
opportunity for value-added sales around the world. The
observation made in the earlier version of this report,
that firms in these industries often have international
operations, continues to be valid, with at least 45
percent of the 2000 leading goods and services firms
having operations outside of the US.
About one quarter of the industries are relatively
intense users of communications (durable manufacturing,
professional business services, non-durable
manufacturing, and entertaiment & media). These are
the industries that Insight Research recommends
communications companies focus their vertical
applications development efforts on first. In contrast,
about an equal number of industries are relatively light
communications users (retail distribution, construction
and transportation) and here, Insight would recommend
developing new services only if they do not divert
resources away from the more important industries.
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Chapter I
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1 Introduction to Updated Report
1.2 New Ways of Looking at Telecommunications
1.3 Benefits of Vertical Market Segmentation
1.4 Scope of Study
1.5 Business vs. Residential Market
1.6 Local vs. Long Distance Market
1.7 Vertical Markets Create Global Opportunities
Chapter II
OVERVIEW
2.1 Objectives of Updated Study
2.2 Key Trends in Changing Telecom Markets
2.2.1 Small, Medium and Large Businesses
2.3 Convergent Forecasting Methodology
2.4 Communications Expenditure Categories
2.4.1 Market Sizing Based On US Bureau of Labor
Statistics Data
2.4.2 Establishments As Primary Measurement Metric
2.4.3 Communications Opportunities Follow Job Growth and
Decline
2.5 Forecasts for Communications Services
2.5.1 Forecasts for Local Services by Industry
2.5.2 Forecast for Long Distance Services by Industry
2.6 Growth of Internet Services
2.7 Wideband Desktop Applications
2.8 Expected Advances in Technology and Standards
Chapter III
LEADING VERTICAL INDUSTRIES
3.1 Healthcare
3.1.1 Changing Industry Needs
3.1.2 Healthcare Telecommunications Expenditures
3.2 Civilian Government
3.3 Financial Services
3.3.1 Key Technology Trends in Financial Services
3.3.2 Brokerages, Mutual Funds & Insurance Firms Must
Reduce Costs
3.4 Professional Business Services
3.5 Transportation
3.6 Media and Entertainment
3.7 Public & Private Education
3.8 Utilities & Communications
3.9 Construction
3.10 Hotel & Lodging
3.11 Wholesale Distribution
3.12 Retail Distribution, Stores & Restaurants
3.13 Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
3.14 Durable Goods Manufacturing
Chapter IV
NATIONWIDE VERTICAL MARKET FORECASTS
4.1 Competition & Innovation Change the Telecom
Landscape
4.2 Methodology for INSIGHTs Market Forecasts
4.3 Key Vertical Markets
4.4 New Services: Attractive, but Still Risky
4.5 Local Communications Services
4.6 Internet/Intranet Outlook
4.6.1 Importance of Security to Internet/Intranet Success
4.7 Mobile Communications Update
4.7.1 Wireless Services Continue to Grow
4.7.2 Additional Opportunities for Fixed Wireless
Services
Table of Figures
Chapter I
I-1 Business Expenditures for Local and Long Distance
Services, 1998-2003 ($Billions)
Chapter II
II-1 Percentage of CLECs Offering Services to Specific
Markets
II-2 Need for New Services and Additional Access Lines to
Offset Declining Service Charges
II-3 Comparison of Company Size and Average Telecom
Expenditures (Log Scale)
Chapter III
III-1 Fastest Growing Healthcare Professions in 1998
III-2 Government Employment, 1985-2005 (Millions)
III-3 Composition of Employment in Construction, 1998
III-4 Distribution of Hotels/Motels in US by Size of
Establishment, 1998
Chapter IV
IV-1 Total Business & Residential Communications
Service Revenues ($Billions)
IV-2 Business and Residential Communications Expenditures
($Billions)
IV-3 Mobile Wireless Communications Subscribers
(Thousands)
Table of Tables
Chapter I
I-1 Selected Vertical Markets in 1998
I-2 Total US Communications Services Markets, 1998 to
2003 ($Billions)
I-3 Business vs. Residential Markets, 1998 and 2003
Chapter II
II- 1 Distribution of Companies & Telecom
Expenditures By Size
II- 2 Local Communications Expenditures by Industry,
1998-2003
II-3 Long Distance Communications Expenditures by
Industry, 1998-2003
Chapter III
III-1 Leading Sectors of the Healthcare Industry
III-2 Communications Expenditures by Healthcare Industry
III-3 Leading Sectors and Growth in Financial Services
III-4 Demographics of Transportation Industry in 1998
III-5 Leading Media and Entertainment Industry Segments
III-6 Population of Higher Education, Students & PCs,
1998-2003
III-7 Distribution of Hotel/Motel Guests by Reason for
Stay
III-8 Demographics of the Retail Industry
III-9 Changes in Sales for Leading Retailers, 1997-98
Chapter IV
IV-1 Business & Residential Telecom Service Revenues,
1998-2003 ($Billions)
IV-2 Comparison of Business and Residential Expenditures,
Local and Long Distance ($Billions)
IV-3 Business Telecom Expenditures by Industry, 1998
($Billions)
IV-4 Growth in Revenue and Communications Expenditures
for Vertical Industries, 1998-2003
IV-5 Telecom Needs for Vertical Industries by Service
Type
IV-6 US Local Telephone Service Revenues, Traditional vs.
New, 1998-2003 ($Billions)
IV-7 Mobile Wireless Communications Subscribers
(Thousands)
IV-8 Wireless Services Market Growth 1998-2003
($Billions)
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