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The 2014 Telecommunications Industry Review: An Anthology of Market Facts and Forecasts

Publication Month : January 2014   |   Report Code : REVIEW14   |   Pages : 100

The 2014 Telecom Industry Review summarizes current conditions across the global telecommunications industry, providing analysis of multiple infrastructure and service segments. From fundamental background issues to detailed five-year forecasts accompanied by practical strategic advice, the Review provides a comprehensive summary of INSIGHT’s research reports throughout the year. In addition to ...

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The 2014 Telecom Industry Review summarizes current conditions across the global telecommunications industry, providing analysis of multiple infrastructure and service segments. From fundamental background issues to detailed five-year forecasts accompanied by practical strategic advice, the Review provides a comprehensive summary of INSIGHT’s research reports throughout the year. In addition to five-year revenue and unit forecasts of telecommunications services, the Review provides an examination of the most important segments and technologies impacting the industry, including wireless demand, optical networking, Ethernet services, and cloud services. This report looks at the global telecommunications services and equipment market in each region: North America; Europe-Middle East-Africa; Asia and the Pacific Rim countries; and Latin America. Modest growth has returned to most telecom markets across the globe and the Review identifies the segments that will thrive over the second-half of the decade.

1.1       Telecommunications Industry Economic Conditions

The past year has exhibited modest growth in most markets, significant economic slowdown in the hyper-growth rates enjoyed over the past decade in advancing economies, and renewed political and economic threats in some isolated countries.  The US, Japan, and most other western economies have started to accelerate from lower growth levels of the past two years, while China and other emerging market economies in Asia and Latin America have slowed from the double-digit growth rates of the past decade.  While consumer and infrastructure spending is rising in most regions, other regions, such as Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan, and  sub-Saharan Africa, remain in a weak investment climate.  In the US, for the first half of 2013, GDP grew at an annual rate of 1.25 percent, while inflation averaged 1.8 percent.  The US is facing ................

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Market Segmentation

 

Telecommunications Industry Markets
              By Geography
                                United States
                                North America
                                Europe/Middle East/Africa
                                Latin America/Caribbean
                                Asia/Pacific
              Carrier Revenue by Service
                               Global Wireline and Wireless Revenues
                               NA Wireline and Wireless Revenues
                               US Wireline and Wireless Revenues
                               EMEA Wireline and Wireless Revenues
                               AP Wireline and Wireless Revenues
                               LA Wireline and Wireless Revenues
              Wireline Revenues and Demand by Service
                              Access Revenue by Region
                              US Access Revenue
                              Broadband Revenue by Region
                              US Broadband Revenue
                              Access Lines by Region
                              US Access Lines
                              Broadband Subs by Region
                              US Broadband Subs
              Wireless Revenues and Demand by Region and US
                             Wireless Revenue by Region and US
                              Subscribers by Region and US
                              Penetration of Population by Region and US
              Wireless Data Technologies Comparison

Next Generation Network Infrastructure
              US VoIP Subscribers and Penetration
              Operator Capex in Selected Geographies
              Impacts of VoIP on International Telecommunications Services
              Total US Public Ethernet Revenues

Access Networks
              US Wireline Switched Access Lines
              US Wireless Subscribers
              US Voice Services Penetration of Households
              Broadband Communication Network Access Solutions
              Worldwide Broadband Subscribers
              Global Wireless Subscribers
              Regional Wireless Penetration of Population
              Historical US Wireless Subscribership Growth
              Revenue Split between Non-Voice and Voice Wireless Revenue
              Monthly Voice and Text Usage by Age

OSS, BSS & Outsourcing
              Outsourced Services Market Estimates by Region

Present & Future Services
              Mashup Revenue Opportunity for Telcos by Region
              Financial Services & Equipment Revenue by Region
              Operator Capex in Selected Geographies

Enterprise Markets
              Classification of US Businesses
                             US Business Distribution: All Business Sizes
                             Business Establishments by Industry Sector & Business Size
                             Business Lines: Distribution by Industry Sector
              US Private Line Revenue
              Managed Services Revenues by Region
              Top-Tier Business Expenditures for Telecom Wireline Services
              Top-Tier Business Expenditures for Telecom Wireless Services
              US Healthcare Telecom Service Revenues
              Global Market for Enterprise Mobility Solutions
              Global Market for All UC Segments: Solutions, Services and Carrier Revenues
              US Telecommunications Revenue by Market: Wireline Business, Wireline  
                     Residence, Wireless, Video
              US MSO Commercial Service Revenues
              Revenue Projection for Hosted PBX/VoIP Service in the Small Business Segment 

Chapter I
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1   Telecommunications Industry Economic Conditions
        1.1.1  Regional Economies and Communications Patterns
1.2   Report Structure

Chapter II
BACKGROUND: TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY MARKETS
2.1   Global Markets 9
        2.1.1  Regional Economies and Communications Patterns
        2.1.2  Global Telecommunications Spending
        2.1.3  North American Telecommunications Spending
        2.1.4  European, Middle East, and Africa Telecommunications Spending
        2.1.5  Asia-Pacific Telecommunications Spending
        2.1.6  Latin America-Caribbean Telecommunications Spending
2.2   Wireline Market Trends
        2.2.1  Wireline Revenues
        2.2.2  Wireline Demand
2.3   Wireless Market Trends
        2.3.1  Wireless Revenues
        2.3.2  Wireless Demand
        2.3.3  Wireless Technology

Chapter III
THE NEXT-GENERATION COMMUNICATIONS NETWORK:
IMPROVEMENTS TO THE INFRASTRUCTURE
3.1   Definitions of Network Topology
        3.1.1 End-Users
        3.1.2 Access Networks
        3.1.3 Metro Networks
        3.1.4 Core Networks
3.2  Transmission Improvements
3.3  Circuit Switching vs. Packet Switching Overview
3.4  The Public Switched Telephone Network
       3.4.1  Evolution of the PSTN
       3.4.2  Central Offices
3.5  Data Networks and VoIP
       3.5.1  Broadband Switches
       3.5.2  Data Core Networks
       3.5.3  Data Metro Networks
       3.5.4  Data Access Networks
       3.5.5  Signaling and Support Structures for Data Networks
       3.5.6  Voice over Internet Protocol
       3.5.7  VoIP as Transport
       3.5.8  VoIP Operational Advantage
       3.5.9  VoIP as Value-Added Stage
3.6  Carrier Ethernet Networks
       3.6.1  E-line
       3.6.2  E-LAN
       3.6.3  Other Typologies: Dedicated vs. Switched
       3.6.4  Carrier Ethernet Market Forecast
3.7  The Next Generation Network
       3.7.1  Gateways
       3.7.2  Softswitches
       3.7.3  Service Delivery Platforms
       3.7.4  IP Multimedia Subsystems
3.8  Optical Networking
       3.8.1  Baseline Optical Transport Technologies
       3.8.2  Optical Transport Technology Overview
       3.8.3  Current Gaps in Baseline Transport Technologies
       3.8.4  The Hybrid Approach to Optical Transport Technologies
3.9  Capital Expenditures Forecast

Chapter IV
THE ACCESS NETWORK: NARROWBAND AND BROADBAND
4.1   Narrowband: The Decline of US Landlines
4.2   Broadband Access Networks
        4.2.1 Broadband Access Forecasts
4.3   Access Network Technology Options
        4.3.1 DSL
        4.3.2 Cable
        4.3.3 Bonded Copper
        4.3.4 Fiber
        4.3.5 Wireless
        4.3.6 Fixed Mobile Convergence
        4.3.7 WiFi
        4.3.8 WiMAX

Chapter V
SUPPORTING THE INFRASTRUCTURE: OSSes, BSSes, AND OUTSOURCING
5.1   Operations Support Systems Overview
5.2   Operations Support Applications
5.3   Business Operations Support
        5.3.1 Billing
        5.3.2 Customer Care
        5.3.3 Business Management
5.4   Network Operations Support
        5.4.1  Engineering and Planning
        5.4.2  Provisioning
        5.4.3  Trouble Repair
        5.4.4  Network Management
        5.4.5  Workforce Management
5.5   OSS Market Revenue Estimates
        5.5.1  Impacts of Equipment Markets on OSSes
5.6   The Impacts of Open Source Software on OSSes
        5.6.1  The Question of Intellectual Property
        5.6.2  Open Source Software Benefits
        5.6.3  Open Source Software Project Challenges
        5.6.4  Open Source Support: The Commercial License

Chapter VI
PRESENT AND FUTURE COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES MARKETS
6.1   IP-Based Application Services
        6.1.1  Introduction & Definitions
        6.1.2  VoIP as a Non-Starter
        6.1.3  Key IP Service Trends
6.2   The Future of IP Services: Web 2.0
        6.2.1 Web 2.0 and Mashups
        6.2.2 Web 2.0 & the Carriers
        6.2.3 Web 2.0 Market Forecast
6.3   The Future of IP Services: Mashups
        6.3.1 What We Found 206
        6.3.2 What Role for Telcos in Mashups?
        6.3.3 Mashup Market Forecast 208
6.4   Mobile Phones’ Impacts on the Financial Sector
        6.4.1 Core Banking
        6.4.2 User Financial Applications for Mobile Phones
        6.4.3 Financial Services Segment Forecast
6.5   Telecommunications Role in Improving the Environment
        6.5.1 Modeling the Benefits of Green
6.6   The Future of Telecommunications
        6.6.1 IP Changes Everything
        6.6.2 Convergence Cuts Both Ways
        6.6.3 The Road Ahead for Operators
        6.6.4 The Road Ahead for OEMs

Chapter VII
ENTERPRISE TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKETS
7.1   The Classification of Businesses by Size
        7.1.1 Distribution of Business by Size
        7.1.2 The Business Line Market Methodology and Analysis
        7.1.3 The Business Line Market in Small Enterprises
7.2   Private Lines
        7.2.1 Evolution in the Private Line Services Market
        7.2.2 Circuit Types
        7.2.3 SONET, IP and Private Lines
        7.2.4 Private Line Circuit Layout
        7.2.5 Redundancy & Restoration
        7.2.6 Private Line Alternatives
        7.2.7 Private Line Services Market Forecast
7.3   Managed Services & the Enterprise
        7.3.1 Why Managed Services?
        7.3.2 Industry Structure
        7.3.3 Managed Service Industry Forecast
7.4   Healthcare as a Fast Growing Vertical Industry
        7.4.1 Healthcare Industry Structure Ready for Change
        7.4.2 Market Estimate of Healthcare Telecom Spending
7.5   The Mobile Workforce and Enterprise Applications
        7.5.1 The Key Enterprise Mobility Applications
        7.5.2 Mobile Enterprise Market Forecasts
7.6   The CATV MSOs’ Push into the Enterprise
        7.6.1 CATV Industry
        7.6.2 MSO Commercial Services: Big Opportunity, Major Challenges
        7.6.3 Deploying Commercial Services
        7.6.4 Market Forecast Summary
7.7   Hosted Voice Services in the Small Enterprise
        7.7.1 The Small Business Market for Hosted PBX/VoIP Services
7.8   Advanced Strategic Services: The Growth Engine for Wireline Business Services
        7.8.1 Advanced Strategic Services
        7.8.2 Importance of Strategic Services
        7.8.3 Market Forecast Summary 

List for Tables:

Chapter II
II-1    Global Carrier Revenue by Region, 2014-2019
II-2    US Carrier Revenue, 2014-2019
II-3    Global Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-4    NA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-5    US Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-6    EMEA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-7    AP Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-8    LA Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019
II-9    Global Wireline Revenue by Region, 2014-2019
II-10  Access Revenue by Region, 2014-2019
II-11  US Access Revenue, 2014-2019
II-12  Broadband Revenue by Region, 2014-2019
II-13  US Broadband Revenue, 2014-2019
II-14  Access Lines by Region, 2014-2019
II-15  US Access Lines, 2014-2019
II-16  Broadband Subs by Region, 2014-2019
II-17  US Broadband Subs, 2014-2019
II-18  Global Wireless Revenue by Region, 2014-2019
II-19  Wireless Subs by Region, 2014-2019
II-20  NA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2014-2019
II-21  US Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2014-2019
II-22  EMEA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2014-2019
II-23  AP Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2014-2019
II-24  LA Wireless Subscriber Penetration, 2014-2019
II-25  Wireless Data Technologies Comparison
II-26  US Wireless Carriers 4G LTE Coverage as of October 2013

Chapter III
III-1    Definitions of Digital Private Line Services
III-2    SONET Data Rates
III-3    Network Locations of Broadband Switches
III-4    Downstream DSL Bit-rates vs. Reach (Mbit/s)
III-5    US VoIP Subscribers and Penetration, 2014-2019
III-6    Characteristics of Ethernet Service Varieties
III-7    Total US Public Ethernet Revenues, 2011-2018
III-8    Gateway Definitions
III-9    Softswitch Advantages/Disadvantages
III-10  Economic Benefits of Softswitch Technology
III-11  Strategies to Increase Network Service Margins
III-12  Interrelationship between STM, STS, OC, and Gbit/s
III-13  ITU’s Laser Grid
III-14  Operator Capex in Selected Geographies 2013-2017

Chapter IV
IV-1  US Wireline Switched Access Lines, Penetration
IV-2  US Wireless Subscribers, 2014-2019
IV-3  Broadband Communication Network Access Solutions
IV-4  The Versions and Features of xDSL
IV-5  Consumer VoWLAN/Cellular Service Scenario: Advantages & Disadvantages

Chapter V
V-1  Operations Support System Definitions Summary
V-2  Related OSS Definitions
V-3  Worldwide OSS Sales by Region, 2011-2016
V-4  Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2013-2017

Chapter VI
VI-1 Green Comm. Portfolio of Product Domains, Services and Apps

Chapter VII
VII-1    US Business Distribution: All Business Sizes
VII-2    Business Establishments by Industry Sector and Business Size
VII-3    Business Lines: Distribution by Industry Sector
VII-4    Business Lines by Industry Sector and Business Size
VII-5    Digital Services Hierarchy
VII-6    SONET/Optical Carrier Hierarchy
VII-7    Managed Services Segments
VII-8    Healthcare Market Segments
VII-9    Healthcare Segment Dimensions and Trends
VII-10  Business Lines by Industry Sector and Business Size
VII-11  ILECs & MSOs Operating Territories Covered 

List for Figures:

Chapter I
I-1   Global Carrier Revenue by Region, 2014-2019 ($Billions)
I-2   Global Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019 ($Billions)
I-3   US Wireline and Wireless Revenues, 2014-2019 ($Billions)

Chapter II
II-1  US LTE Coverage, 2010-2014

Chapter III
III-1    Public Communication Network Architecture
III-2    SONET Ring Configuration
III-3    Hierarchy of Broadband Switch Functions
III-4    Typical National Data Core Network
III-5    E-Line Point-to-Point Service Type
III-6    E-LAN Multipoint-to-Multipoint Service Type
III-7    Softswitch Architecture Diagram
III-8    Circuit vs. Packet Switching of Internet Traffic
III-9    SDP Service Provider Network Architecture
III-10  STS-1 Frame Structure
III-11  STM-1 Frame Structure
III-12  Four-Channel DWDM System
III-13  Schematic of an MPLS Network
III-14  Label Header Structure
III-15  MPLS over WDM Core

Chapter IV
IV-1   US Voice Services Penetration of Households
IV-2   Worldwide Broadband Subscribers
IV-3   HFC Architecture Providing Video and Voice Services
IV-4   Typical Backhaul Configuration
IV-5   Typical DSLAM Backhaul Application
IV-6   Global Wireless Subscribers, 2014-2019
IV-7   US Wireless Subscribers, 1997-2017
IV-8   US Wireless Average Minutes Per Local Call
IV-9   Revenue Split between Non-Voice and Voice Wireless Revenue
IV-10 Phone Usage Habits, Women versus Men, January 2011
IV-11 Monthly Voice and Text Usage by Age, January 2011
IV-12 Common Fixed Mobile Convergence Scenarios

Chapter V
V-1   Operations Support Systems Dataflow
V-2   Business Operations Systems Dataflow
V-3   Telecommunications Management Network Functional Architecture
V-4   Total Worldwide OSS Sales Revenue, 2011-2016
V-5   Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2009-2017

Chapter VI
VI-1  Web 2.0 Business Models 198
VI-2  Global Opportunities for Web 2.0 Applied to Telecom, 2011-2016
VI-3  Logical Schematic of a Commercial Mashup 205
VI-4  Global Mashup Revenue Opportunity for Telcos, 2010-2015
VI-5  Taxonomy of Revenue Opportunities in the Financial Domains
VI-6  Global Financial Services & Equipment Revenue, 2012-2017
VI-7  Telecom Networking Before and After IP 226
VI-8  Operator Capex in Selected Geographies, 2009-2017

Chapter VII
VII-1    Capacities of 64 Kbit/s, T1, and T3 Circuits
VII-2    Typical Layout for a Full Circuit
VII-3    ISDN Switched Backup
VII-4    SONET Rings
VII-5    Fiber-to-Fiber Redundancy
VII-6    Cable-to-Cable Physical Redundancy (Diverse Cable Redundancy)
VII-7    Total Private Line Revenue, 2013-2017
VII-8    Global Managed Services Market by Region, 2012-2017
VII-9    Total US Healthcare Telecom Service Revenues, 2012-2017
VII-10  Global Market for Enterprise Mobility Solutions, 2011-2016
VII-11  US Telecommunications Revenue by Market, 2012
VII-12  US MSO Commercial Service Revenues, 2013-2018
VII-13  Revenue Projection for Hosted PBX/VoIP Service in the Small Business Seg.
VII-14  Advanced Strategic Services Framework
VII-15  Telecommunications Value Chain
VII-16  US Advanced Strategic Services Revenues Summary 

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